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NRA's data shows motorway unnecessary
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Case study: N9N10
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In 1995 the daily traffic from Grannagh to Mullinavat was 5,500
vehicles. From Kilkenny to Paulstown it was about 6,000 vehicles per day and
from Carlow to Castledermot it was 8,000.
The NRA has not announced how big a motorway they plan to build. The new
N9N10 could have a capacity of anything from 34,600 to 81,200 vehicles per day.
The figure of 55,000 vehicles per day had been chosen as an intermediate value.
If a conservative volume of 12,000 is taken for the existing N9N10 then the
combined capacity in the year 2019 would be 67,000 vehicles per day.
But the NRA, in its National Road Needs Study of 1998, projects that in 2019,
the daily traffic from Grannagh to Mullinavat will only be 11,500, from Kilkenny
to Paulstown between 10,500 and 16,000 vehicles per day and from Carlow to
Castledermot 17,000 vehicles per day.
According to the NRA, at no stretch of the new motorway will traffic reach
much more than 25% of capacity in 20 years time. At many places traffic will be
about 12% the capacity of the combined road network.
Even if the a dual-carriage way is assumed, the capacity of which is given in
the National Roads Needs Study as 34,600, traffic in 20 years time is estimated
to be only about a third of total road capacity.
Below is data extracted from Annex 2 page 2 of 8 of the National Road Needs
Study (July 98)
Section |
1995 daily traffic (vehicles
per day) |
2019 Projected daily
traffic (vehicles per day) |
Approx. combined
Motorway and existing 2 lane road
capacity
|
The
Combined roads
PERCENTAGE
EMPTY
|
Grannagh to Mullinavat |
5,500 |
11,500 |
70,000 |
84 |
Mullinavat to Ballyhale |
4,000 |
8,500 |
70,000 |
88 |
Ballyhale Thomastown |
2,500 |
5,500 |
|
|
Ballyhale Kilkenny |
2500 to 3,500 |
6000 to 7500 |
|
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Sum of Ballyhale Thomastown and
Ballyhale Kilkenny traffic |
5,000 to 6,000 |
11,500 to 13,000 |
70,000 |
84 to 81
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Kilkenny Paulstown |
5,000 to 7,000 |
10,500 to 16,000 |
70,000 |
85 to 77
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Paulstown
Carlow
|
6,500 to 8,500
|
14,500 to 18,500
|
70,000 |
79 to 74
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Carlow Castledermot
|
8,000
|
17,000
|
70,000 |
76 |
Castledermot
Moone Timolin
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6,000
|
13,500
|
70,000 |
81 |
Moone Timolin
Kilcullen
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6,500
|
14,000
|
70,000 |
80 |
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